| Résol. | Question | YES | Liquidité |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0j | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | 0.66 | $1094771 |
| 0j | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | 0.56 | $924346 |
| 0j | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | 0.20 | $904271 |
| 0j | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04? | 0.38 | $883455 |
| 0j | Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? | 0.30 | $873363 |
| 0j | Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? | 0.14 | $864324 |
| 0j | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? | 0.40 | $862473 |
| 0j | Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a dr | 0.20 | $838558 |
| ID | Question | Dir | Mise | Edge | Cote entrée→actuelle | Marché YES/NO | P&L estimé | Résolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4? News : Hearing for suspect in White House correspondents’ dinner shooting scheduled for today – US politics live Analyse : Shooting incident at White House Correspondents' dinner on April 25 with ongoing hearing today increases likelihood of security lockdown and full lid announcement by evening as precautionary measure. | YES | $5.64 | 8.5% | 0.465 → 0.465 | — | +0.00$ | — |
| 23 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? News : Middle East crisis live: Iran claims it stopped US warship from sailing through strait of Hormuz Analyse : Trump mentioned 'very positive' talks with Iran and US navy will 'guide' ships through strait, suggesting potential de-escalation and possible blockade lifting within 3 days | YES | $3.77 | 9.8% | 0.052 → 0.059 | 5.9%94.2% | +0.47$ | 2026-05-08 dans 3j |
| 22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? News : Bitcoin above $78,000 as Senate clears Clarity Act yield hurdle, S&P 500 sets new record Analyse : News explicitly states Bitcoin is above $78,000. Market resolves in 0 days, so this is current price confirmation. Strong upward edge. | YES | $3.98 | 8.5% | 0.865 → 0.895 | 89.5%10.5% | +0.14$ | 2026-05-04 dans 0j |
| 20 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? News : Trump says US navy will ‘guide’ trapped ships from strait of Hormuz amid ‘very positive’ talks with Iran Analyse : Trump's announcement of clearing trapped ships and positive Iran talks indicate significant normalization. 75-99 transits is plausible if multiple days see near-normal operations plus backlog clearance, though less certain than 50-74 range. | YES | $2.01 | 8.5% | 0.115 → 0.114 | 11.3%88.6% | -0.03$ | 2026-05-10 dans 5j |
| 13 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? News : Thirteen killed in Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon, health ministry says Analyse : L'escalade militaire impliquant l'Iran et ses proxies pourrait réduire le trafic maritime dans cette zone stratégique par précaution | NO | $5.62 | 9.5% | 0.655 → 0.615 | 38.5%61.5% | -0.34$ | 2026-05-10 dans 5j |
| 12 | Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? News : Amsterdam bans public adverts for meat and fossil fuels Analyse : La décision d'Amsterdam d'interdire la publicité pour la viande et les énergies fossiles montre un momentum environnemental croissant en Europe, ce qui pourrait favoriser les partis verts dans les élections britanniques | YES | $5.92 | 12.0% | 0.530 → 0.530 | — | +0.00$ | — |
| 11 | Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? News : Chris Mason: Elections this week set to show how politics is changing Analyse : L'article de Chris Mason indique que ces élections vont exposer l'ampleur des vulnérabilités du Labour, suggérant des performances décevantes | NO | $4.69 | 13.5% | 0.115 → 0.115 | 88.5%11.5% | +0.00$ | 2026-05-07 dans 2j |
| 10 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? News : Middle East crisis live: Iran warns it will attack US forces if they enter strait of Hormuz after Trump says US will help ‘guide’ stranded ships Analyse : Iran menaçant d'attaquer les forces US dans le détroit va drastiquement réduire le transit de navires par mesure de sécurité | NO | $6.48 | 23.5% | 0.615 → 0.620 | 38.0%62.0% | +0.05$ | 2026-05-10 dans 5j |
| 8 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? News : Trump tells Congress ceasefire means he does not need their approval for Iran war Analyse : Le cessez-le-feu nécessite des négociations diplomatiques urgentes, il est peu probable d'attendre après May 10 | NO | $7.08 | 56.5% | 0.085 → 0.080 | 92.0%8.0% | -0.42$ | 2026-05-10 dans 5j |
| 3 | Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? News : Chris Mason: Elections this week set to show how politics is changing Analyse : Avec des vulnérabilités exposées, 700+ sièges pour Labour devient moins probable | NO | $9.03 | 18.0% | 0.570 → 0.430 | — | -2.22$ | — |
| 2 | Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? News : Chris Mason: Elections this week set to show how politics is changing Analyse : Les vulnérabilités du Labour suggèrent des résultats plus faibles qu'attendu, probabilité de 500+ sièges réduite | NO | $9.50 | 17.5% | 0.375 → 0.375 | 62.5%37.5% | +0.00$ | 2026-05-07 dans 2j |
| ID | Question | Dir | Mise | Edge | P&L | Résultat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucun pari clôturé | ||||||